Chapter 59 – 100%

"Oh?" Pig of Human was a little confused. "I don't understand what you mean."

Old Lv was also puzzled. "Kid, what are you talking about? Is there a 'sure-win strategy' in this game?"

"I dare not say it's a sure-win strategy," Qi Xia shook his head. "But the 'Pig Game' is definitely not a 'luck-based' game, but a complete 'probability' game."

"What do you mean?" Old Lv was a bit puzzled. "No matter how you distribute them, there are fifty black and white pieces, which means the probability of drawing all the pieces is one in two."

"Is that so?" Qi Xia neither confirmed nor denied it. "It's precisely because of this that the game appears to be more like a 'luck-based' game."

"To tell you the truth, kid," Old Lv leaned in close to Qi Xia's ear and whispered, "The first time, I separated the black and white pieces into different bowls. As long as I could pick the bowl with the black piece, I would win. But unfortunately, I lost. The second time, I evenly distributed the black and white pieces into two bowls, but I still didn't draw the black piece. My luck was just too bad."

Old Lv rubbed his chin and continued, "If you think about it carefully, breaking the ratio and having different numbers of black and white pieces in each bowl would actually make it even more difficult for me to draw the black piece. So, no matter what, there can't possibly be a sure-win strategy."

Qi Xia nodded. "It's impossible to 'sure-win' this game. I can only try to increase my chances of winning."

"Hmm? Do you have a plan?"

It can be hard to make great work when its stolen from bit.ly/3iBfjkV.

Qi Xia didn't answer. Instead, he said to Pig of Human, "I'm ready, let's begin."

Pig of Human chuckled and extended his hand, making a gesture of "please." "Let's start the distribution."

Qi Xia looked at the two identical bowls and the black and white pieces with the same texture and feel. Silently, he grabbed a handful of pieces and put them into one of the bowls.

Old Lv silently watched Qi Xia, not knowing how he would arrange these one hundred pieces.

Qi Xia kept grabbing pieces and continuously throwing them into the bowl, as if he didn't care about the number of black and white pieces.

"Hey... is this allowed?" Old Lv hesitated and asked, "Shouldn't you count how many pieces you've already put in?"

Qi Xia didn't speak, he just kept throwing pieces into one of the bowls.

Old Lv and Lin Qin looked at each other, both unsure of what Qi Xia was doing.

It wasn't until Qi Xia had thrown all the pieces into the same bowl that he stopped.

Pig of Human became angry. "Hey hey hey! That's against the rules! You have to distribute them into two bowls!"

"I know," Qi Xia nodded. "The distribution is not over yet."

After saying that, he picked up a black piece from the bowl and threw it into the other bowl.

"My distribution is complete," Qi Xia raised his head and calmly looked at Pig of Human.

"What?!"

Everyone present was stunned.

What kind of distribution method was this?

One bowl had one black piece, while the other bowl had the remaining ninety-nine pieces?

Old Lv looked at the two bowls on the table, his pupils dilated slightly. After a long time, he finally spoke, "Clever... very clever..."

He understood Qi Xia's tactics.

Originally, no matter how Old Lv distributed the pieces, the "optimal distribution" of the pieces in both bowls would always be divided equally.

This way, he could ensure that he had a fifty percent chance of drawing the black piece.

But Qi Xia broke this balance.

He made the probability of drawing the black piece in one bowl one hundred percent, while the probability of drawing the black piece in the other bowl was as close to fifty percent as possible.

Since he had to randomly choose a bowl at the beginning, Qi Xia was very likely to directly choose the bowl with the black piece. He didn't need to pick pieces from the bowl, he would win directly.

Even if he had bad luck and chose the other bowl, the probability of drawing the black piece would still be very close to fifty percent, around forty-nine percent.

He added a hidden "insurance" layer to his chances of winning.

Seeing this scene, Pig of Human's eyes under the mask became noticeably colder.

"Are you trying to outsmart me?" Pig of Human's tone changed, no longer sounding childish, but rather cunning.

"Outsmart you?" Qi Xia felt a bit amused and raised an eyebrow. "Everything I've done doesn't violate the rules, so how can it be considered outsmarting?"

Pig of Human took out an eye mask from his pocket and slowly handed it to Qi Xia, saying, "I know many smart people, and most of them have bad luck."

Qi Xia nodded and took the eye mask. "I can't refute that. After all, smart people rarely rely on luck."

"But in the end, we're gambling," Pig of Human said in a low voice. "The most important thing in gambling is 'strong luck.' You're very smart, but how is your luck?"

"I don't know," Qi Xia replied. "But we'll find out soon enough."

Qi Xia slowly put on the eye mask and placed his hands on the table, no longer moving.

Pig of Human took the two bowls and began shaking the pieces inside.This rule was originally designed to deal with certain opportunists who would lay a foundation with white pieces and then cover them with black pieces on top for easy access.

But now, for Qi Xia's tactics, this rule has completely lost its effect.

Pig of Human knew that no matter how he mixed the pieces, the man in front of him would unhesitatingly pick one out.

After all, he had done what he needed to do. Now, he was ready to leave everything to his "luck".

With this thought, he casually shook the bowls, scrambled their positions, and rearranged them, one on the left and one on the right.

"Hey, which bowl do you choose?" Pig of Human asked, "The one on your left... or the one on your right?"

"I..." Qi Xia lowered his head and was silent for a while, then said, "The left, I choose the left."

Lin Qin and Old Lv were taken aback at the same time, feeling a sense of foreboding.

Because the bowl on Qi Xia's left was filled with ninety-nine pieces!

A glint of light suddenly lit up in Pig of Human's eyes: "Very well, please choose a piece from it."

He pushed the bowl to Qi Xia with a hint of mockery, as if he was laughing at him.

Qi Xia's mouth curled up slightly, saying, "Didn't you want to test my luck? This bowl is just right for the test."

"What..." Pig of Human was stunned, "You, you know this bowl is the 'wrong' one?!"

"Pretty much." Qi Xia slowly reached his hand into the bowl, saying, "Actually, choosing 'left or right' is like choosing 'rock, paper, scissors'. It seems to be a balanced probability, but it always leads to bias due to human thinking."

"What do you mean?" Old Lv asked in confusion.

"Just like most people would first choose scissors in rock-paper-scissors, the probability is not balanced." Qi Xia explained, " 'Paper' makes one's palm open, losing a sense of security, while 'rock' clenches the palm, making people subconsciously feel oppressed, so 'scissors' becomes the most moderate choice. The same goes for choosing left or right, people's subconscious will think that 'the left side is safer'. After all, most people in this world are right-handed, they often use their right hand, and the chance of the right hand getting injured is much higher than the left hand, so when choosing a safe direction, it's easy to choose 'left'."

"You... are indeed not an ordinary person." Pig of Human said.

"There's no need to compliment me, because you understand these principles too." Qi Xia said, "You put ninety-nine pieces on my left hand side, it shouldn't be unintentional, right?"

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